FIFA World Cup 2026 Editorial Analysis & Probabilities Guide
Country Profiles

All 48 Competing Nations

A structured review of every nation qualified for the 2026 World Cup tournament. View progression metrics, group positions, and simulated final outcomes.

Spain

Rank #1

Group H
Win Title: 17.4%
Odds: +475
Final: 31.3%
Semifinal: 50.0%
Quarterfinal: 61.5%
Win Group: 81.8%

France

Rank #2

Group I
Win Title: 16.7%
Odds: +500
Final: 25.0%
Semifinal: 43.5%
Quarterfinal: 57.4%
Win Group: 69.7%

England

Rank #3

Group L
Win Title: 13.3%
Odds: +650
Final: 25.0%
Semifinal: 41.7%
Quarterfinal: 59.2%
Win Group: 76.2%

Brazil

Rank #4

Group C
Win Title: 11.1%
Odds: +800
Final: 20.0%
Semifinal: 35.7%
Quarterfinal: 54.5%
Win Group: 78.7%

Argentina

Rank #5

Group J
Win Title: 10.0%
Odds: +900
Final: 19.0%
Semifinal: 34.5%
Quarterfinal: 52.4%
Win Group: 77.3%

Portugal

Rank #6

Group K
Win Title: 9.1%
Odds: +1000
Final: 16.7%
Semifinal: 33.3%
Quarterfinal: 50.0%
Win Group: 69.7%

Germany

Rank #7

Group E
Win Title: 6.7%
Odds: +1400
Final: 15.4%
Semifinal: 27.8%
Quarterfinal: 43.5%
Win Group: 75.6%

Netherlands

Rank #8

Group F
Win Title: 4.8%
Odds: +2000
Final: 10.0%
Semifinal: 18.2%
Quarterfinal: 35.7%
Win Group: 53.5%

Norway

Rank #9

Group I
Win Title: 3.2%
Odds: +3000
Final: 7.7%
Semifinal: 15.4%
Quarterfinal: 27.8%
Win Group: 26.7%

Belgium

Rank #10

Group G
Win Title: 2.8%
Odds: +3500
Final: 7.7%
Semifinal: 16.7%
Quarterfinal: 40.0%
Win Group: 69.7%

Colombia

Rank #11

Group K
Win Title: 2.4%
Odds: +4000
Final: 5.3%
Semifinal: 12.5%
Quarterfinal: 26.3%
Win Group: 29.4%

USA

Rank #12

Group D
Win Title: 1.6%
Odds: +6000
Final: 5.3%
Semifinal: 10.5%
Quarterfinal: 26.7%
Win Group: 44.4%

Morocco

Rank #13

Group C
Win Title: 2.0%
Odds: +5000
Final: 4.3%
Semifinal: 9.1%
Quarterfinal: 22.2%
Win Group: 19.0%

Japan

Rank #14

Group F
Win Title: 1.5%
Odds: +6500
Final: 3.8%
Semifinal: 8.3%
Quarterfinal: 20.0%
Win Group: 28.6%

Mexico

Rank #15

Group A
Win Title: 1.2%
Odds: +8000
Final: 3.8%
Semifinal: 7.7%
Quarterfinal: 22.2%
Win Group: 52.4%

Uruguay

Rank #16

Group H
Win Title: 1.5%
Odds: +6500
Final: 4.8%
Semifinal: 13.3%
Quarterfinal: 25.0%
Win Group: 21.3%

Switzerland

Rank #17

Group B
Win Title: 1.5%
Odds: +6500
Final: 5.3%
Semifinal: 10.5%
Quarterfinal: 26.7%
Win Group: 51.2%

Turkey

Rank #18

Group D
Win Title: 1.0%
Odds: +10000
Final: 3.8%
Semifinal: 10.0%
Quarterfinal: 25.0%
Win Group: 33.3%

Ecuador

Rank #19

Group E
Win Title: 1.2%
Odds: +8000
Final: 2.8%
Semifinal: 6.7%
Quarterfinal: 15.4%
Win Group: 22.2%

Croatia

Rank #20

Group L
Win Title: 1.2%
Odds: +8000
Final: 3.4%
Semifinal: 9.1%
Quarterfinal: 20.0%
Win Group: 22.2%

Senegal

Rank #21

Group I
Win Title: 1.1%
Odds: +9000
Final: 2.4%
Semifinal: 5.3%
Quarterfinal: 13.3%
Win Group: 11.8%

Sweden

Rank #22

Group F
Win Title: 1.0%
Odds: +10000
Final: 2.0%
Semifinal: 6.7%
Quarterfinal: 13.3%
Win Group: 22.2%

Austria

Rank #23

Group J
Win Title: 0.7%
Odds: +15000
Final: 2.4%
Semifinal: 5.9%
Quarterfinal: 12.5%
Win Group: 18.2%

Canada

Rank #24

Group B
Win Title: 0.5%
Odds: +20000
Final: 2.4%
Semifinal: 5.9%
Quarterfinal: 18.2%
Win Group: 34.5%

Paraguay

Rank #25

Group D
Win Title: 0.3%
Odds: +30000
Final: 1.5%
Semifinal: 3.8%
Quarterfinal: 11.1%
Win Group: 20.0%

Bosnia

Rank #26

Group B
Win Title: 0.2%
Odds: +50000
Final: 1.2%
Semifinal: 3.2%
Quarterfinal: 10.5%
Win Group: 21.3%

Scotland

Rank #27

Group C
Win Title: 0.5%
Odds: +20000
Final: 1.2%
Semifinal: 3.4%
Quarterfinal: 11.1%
Win Group: 10.0%

Czech Republic

Rank #28

Group A
Win Title: 0.4%
Odds: +25000
Final: 0.5%
Semifinal: 3.8%
Quarterfinal: 11.8%
Win Group: 26.3%

Ivory Coast

Rank #29

Group E
Win Title: 0.4%
Odds: +25000
Final: 1.2%
Semifinal: 3.4%
Quarterfinal: 9.1%
Win Group: 14.3%

Egypt

Rank #30

Group G
Win Title: 0.3%
Odds: +30000
Final: 1.2%
Semifinal: 3.2%
Quarterfinal: 10.0%
Win Group: 20.0%

Algeria

Rank #31

Group J
Win Title: 0.3%
Odds: +35000
Final: 1.5%
Semifinal: 4.8%
Quarterfinal: 11.1%
Win Group: 12.5%

Ghana

Rank #32

Group L
Win Title: 0.3%
Odds: +30000
Final: 1.2%
Semifinal: 3.2%
Quarterfinal: 7.7%
Win Group: 9.1%

South Korea

Rank #33

Group A
Win Title: 0.2%
Odds: +40000
Final: 1.5%
Semifinal: 3.4%
Quarterfinal: 13.3%
Win Group: 25.0%

Australia

Rank #34

Group D
Win Title: 0.2%
Odds: +60000
Final: 1.0%
Semifinal: 1.5%
Quarterfinal: 5.9%
Win Group: 12.5%

Tunisia

Rank #35

Group F
Win Title: 0.1%
Odds: +70000
Final: 0.5%
Semifinal: 1.2%
Quarterfinal: 4.8%
Win Group: 8.3%

Iran

Rank #36

Group G
Win Title: 0.1%
Odds: +70000
Final: 1.0%
Semifinal: 2.4%
Quarterfinal: 9.1%
Win Group: 18.2%

DR Congo

Rank #37

Group K
Win Title: 0.1%
Odds: +100000
Final: 0.7%
Semifinal: 2.4%
Quarterfinal: 5.9%
Win Group: 8.3%

South Africa

Rank #38

Group A
Win Title: 0.1%
Odds: +100000
Final: 0.4%
Semifinal: 1.0%
Quarterfinal: 4.8%
Win Group: 7.7%

Qatar

Rank #39

Group B
Win Title: 0.1%
Odds: +150000
Final: 0.4%
Semifinal: 0.7%
Quarterfinal: 2.8%
Win Group: 3.4%

Saudi Arabia

Rank #40

Group H
Win Title: 0.1%
Odds: +100000
Final: 0.4%
Semifinal: 1.2%
Quarterfinal: 4.3%
Win Group: 5.3%

Iraq

Rank #41

Group I
Win Title: 0.1%
Odds: +150000
Final: 0.2%
Semifinal: 1.0%
Quarterfinal: 1.5%
Win Group: 2.0%

Panama

Rank #42

Group L
Win Title: 0.1%
Odds: +100000
Final: 0.4%
Semifinal: 1.0%
Quarterfinal: 3.2%
Win Group: 3.2%

New Zealand

Rank #43

Group G
Win Title: 0.1%
Odds: +150000
Final: 0.3%
Semifinal: 0.4%
Quarterfinal: 2.4%
Win Group: 3.8%

Cape Verde

Rank #44

Group H
Win Title: 0.1%
Odds: +100000
Final: 0.2%
Semifinal: 0.4%
Quarterfinal: 2.0%
Win Group: 2.4%

Uzbekistan

Rank #45

Group K
Win Title: 0.1%
Odds: +150000
Final: 0.3%
Semifinal: 1.0%
Quarterfinal: 2.8%
Win Group: 2.8%

Curacao

Rank #46

Group E
Win Title: 0.0%
Odds: +250000
Final: 0.2%
Semifinal: 0.2%
Quarterfinal: 0.7%
Win Group: 0.8%

Jordan

Rank #47

Group J
Win Title: 0.0%
Odds: +250000
Final: 0.2%
Semifinal: 0.4%
Quarterfinal: 2.0%
Win Group: 2.4%

Haiti

Rank #48

Group C
Win Title: 0.0%
Odds: +250000
Final: 0.2%
Semifinal: 0.2%
Quarterfinal: 0.7%
Win Group: 0.7%